Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.475145 0.519811 0.568615 0.626227 0.692806 0.767851 0.859586
2024-12-22 0.379722 0.439578 0.510831 0.603388 0.722729 0.874820 1.089252
2024-12-29 0.332134 0.401950 0.491010 0.616518 0.795223 1.051872 1.473005
2025-01-05 0.288023 0.359484 0.455221 0.598523 0.818958 1.168534 1.826473
2025-01-12 0.250987 0.320118 0.416027 0.566096 0.810998 1.231661 2.123468
2025-01-19 0.222994 0.289270 0.383792 0.537100 0.799945 1.283961 2.430354
2025-01-26 0.210354 0.278354 0.378571 0.548374 0.858112 1.483081 3.215446
2025-02-02 0.204636 0.276584 0.386440 0.581806 0.964521 1.827726 4.788417
2025-02-09 0.193655 0.265599 0.378196 0.585496 1.013630 2.067361 6.425242
2025-02-16 0.180773 0.250453 0.361403 0.570752 1.020080 2.201839 7.919422
2025-02-23 0.172001 0.240999 0.353008 0.570354 1.058249 2.449128 10.763876
2025-03-02 0.162536 0.229673 0.340266 0.559523 1.069340 2.621700 13.889577
2025-03-09 0.154977 0.221335 0.332689 0.559624 1.112265 2.954262 21.122137
2025-03-16 0.146428 0.210896 0.320685 0.549477 1.128381 3.215454 31.482424
2025-03-23 0.142149 0.207288 0.320673 0.565030 1.221074 3.911257 76.075178
2025-03-30 0.134468 0.197346 0.308042 0.550863 1.223998 4.195174 141.950175
2025-04-06 0.125784 0.185161 0.290261 0.522763 1.177390 4.175341 201.060941
2025-04-13 0.118109 0.174329 0.274317 0.497183 1.133483 4.147405 295.200822
2025-04-20 0.115206 0.171642 0.273707 0.507360 1.208852 4.982264 9556.886248
2025-04-27 0.114571 0.172882 0.280789 0.537202 1.365085 6.813251 NaN
2025-05-04 0.111230 0.169039 0.277414 0.540507 1.427340 8.081287 NaN
2025-05-11 0.106562 0.162532 0.268152 0.527391 1.421161 8.632809 NaN
2025-05-18 0.103402 0.158623 0.263935 0.527041 1.468305 10.082860 NaN